Public-data pipeline · v0
Tartana — Curtailment Opportunity
Brazilian renewable curtailment (wind + solar),
Headline — backlog commercial universe (Law 15.269/2025)
Compensable-proxy R$ · →
Backlog plants (any)
Backlog plants (comp)
Total MWh
Comp share · MWh
Backlog — compensable vs total (R$ at CMO)
Backlog — compensable vs total (MWh)
Scope comparison — three windows, side by side
Backlog column is the retroactive claims universe under Law 15.269/2025 — the commercial focus of Layer 1. Post-backlog is Layer 2 RevOps territory. Full period is the pipeline's total observation window.
EOL wind vs UFV solar — full period
By MWh (full period, all cause classes)
By compensable-proxy R$ (CMO)
Cause-class split — full period
By MWh
By R$ (CMO)
Why the R$ number is conservative:
CMO — the energy cost proxy — hit the PLD floor (≈R$ 6/MWh) for most of 2023 under Brazilian hydro abundance. PLD, the settlement price, sat at its PLD-min floor of ~R$ 69/MWh that year. A PLD-based rerun of the backlog would push compensable-proxy R$ materially higher for 2023 volume. Wiring CCEE PLD horário is the next upgrade.
Generated UTC · Price asof · Pipeline sources: ONS constrained-off eólica + fotovoltaica detalhado · CMO Semi-Horário · ANEEL SIGA + Agentes